By Nicole Hipp
If I were to make a bobblehead of myself it would resemble a many-headed monster….to wear all the hats that I don each day as I morph in and out of my many roles. It’s career week in my 6 year old daughter’s classroom this week and on Tuesday evening she asked me “Who is Daddy? I mean not his name but what’s another thing we call him?” Ok, so I had to bite my tongue and resist all the clever answers immediately spinning in my head and said “Net Lease Broker”…which for some people, in this economy, could have a whole different meaning! And then she asked about me and I said “Bookkeeper”. And to avoid the next question I immediately offered a piece of distracting trivia to make my job sound a lot more exciting (in case she was compelled to share it with her class). “Did you know that bookkeeper is the only word in the English language with THREE sets of double letters all in a row?” (Recent news to myself as well!) She stared at me blankly perplexed much like she did when I tried to teach her “The Hustle”. So I tried to better explain that I count all the money and write checks to pay bills. She must’ve understood because as soon as Daddy stepped in the door, she proudly announced, Mommy is a book writer! Which is not a complete mistruth as I do have one of those in the works. And then the next day when I picked her up from school she shares “I told my class you are a book reader.” To a 6 year old this is quite the profession. Something they aspire to, so I accept it. After all, being a book reader to our kids really is a great thing. For many families, the economic downturn has been an upturn for the quality of family time. The creative juices that flow when you are trying to save money can be fun. Children now have a greater opportunity to learn some values – not just of money. And instead of constantly finding yourself on the run or eating out, families are eating in and entertaining themselves with each other AT HOME. The rat race got way out of control. And now consumer spending is down. It hurts in some ways. But when we are not out “consuming”, where are we? Hopefully at home with our families….book reading.
Showing posts with label Broker. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Broker. Show all posts
Thursday, April 16, 2009
Monday, March 16, 2009
Musings Of A Veteran Broker
By Guenter Manczur
Those of us who have been around long enough to see prior real estate cycles remember only too well the period of 15% – 18% interest mortgages, the closure of numerous industrial banks and the much larger savings & loan debacle that was followed by an era when RTC-controlled properties seemed to be the only ones being sold.
Yet here we are, some 20 years later, having recently experienced an unparalleled period of price appreciation and economic growth in almost all sectors of the real estate industry. The expectation of constantly increasing prices has been the business model for many property owners, and countless purchases were made with the full expectation that an owner could re-sell any property, any time, for a profit.
Is it reasonable to expect that explosive growth can continue unchecked for long periods of time? Of course, not. Most of us agree that prices fluctuate with supply and demand conditions, and that periodic imbalances will result in price corrections.
In these times of being inundated by a barrage of negative financial news, it’s helpful to remember that commercial real estate transactions will continue to happen even in a down-market, albeit at a slower pace.
Those of us who have been around long enough to see prior real estate cycles remember only too well the period of 15% – 18% interest mortgages, the closure of numerous industrial banks and the much larger savings & loan debacle that was followed by an era when RTC-controlled properties seemed to be the only ones being sold.
Yet here we are, some 20 years later, having recently experienced an unparalleled period of price appreciation and economic growth in almost all sectors of the real estate industry. The expectation of constantly increasing prices has been the business model for many property owners, and countless purchases were made with the full expectation that an owner could re-sell any property, any time, for a profit.
Is it reasonable to expect that explosive growth can continue unchecked for long periods of time? Of course, not. Most of us agree that prices fluctuate with supply and demand conditions, and that periodic imbalances will result in price corrections.
In these times of being inundated by a barrage of negative financial news, it’s helpful to remember that commercial real estate transactions will continue to happen even in a down-market, albeit at a slower pace.
Wednesday, February 18, 2009
Show me the Money!
By Nicole Hipp
I have a confession to make. I am not a sports fan. You won’t ever find me slathered in body paint and dancing and screaming on national TV. However, you might find me accompanying my husband or kids to a game and holding my daughter up so she can dance the winning dance and I’d even help my son paint his face red, white or blue, as such a task really does seem to require a woman’s touch. I’ll have a beer or two, buy the cracker jacks, watch the super bowl commercials and hopefully chat it up with another un-sports fan. Okay, I admit it; I’ve even bought my dog his own football jersey with his name on it. But really, I’m not a sports fan. I barely know the rules. But I like the rules. Maybe I’m a closet sports fan.
Sportsmanship is healthy. Healthy for the environment (beer bottles are all plastic recyclable with no caps), healthy for the economy, healthy for the community, and healthy for the family. I’ve given this more thought recently because of where I live and have worked.
I live in Loudoun County, VA and used to work in southeast Washington DC. Loudoun County was the second fastest growing county in the nation during the economic boom. (“Boom” is such an ironic term for economic growth. As a mother, when things go “boom” it’s not usually a good thing!) Recently however, it is starting to resemble a ghost town with beautiful new commercial spaces and homes sitting vacant. So when it was just announced that Donald Trump was buying Lowes Island Golf and Country club, I asked “Why?”. Then I just had to defer to his decision and try and ascertain what potential he saw. I started thinking that maybe the potential he saw was geographic. The greater Washington DC area is somewhat insulated to economic crisis due to the significant presence of the federal government and all its contractors. But the private sector, retail and service industry of the greater metro area is not immune to it, unfortunately! Rather, I think that the investment is in the sportsman. In tough economic times, a sportsman is still sportsman. Once a sports fan, always a sports fan. I’d venture to say that a sports fan’s blood may run thicker than some family members!
Most parents wouldn’t discourage our children from becoming involved in a team sport. Being a player on team teaches one how to be a team player later in life. When considering a recent hire, what finally bumped one applicant to the top of the list was her experience as a college sports team captain. And when a family becomes involved in a team sport, coaching, attending games and practices, supporting and exercising, it becomes a win-win for all.
So is it the same with a professional sports organization and the community. The presence of a professional sports entity or structure in a community breeds economic growth through jobs, hotels, restaurants, shops, and transportation. It’s a solid long term investment. And in many major cities, during a home team sporting event, the crime rate drops significantly! I reflect back to the 1990’s when I worked in Southeast Washington DC in the US Navy Yard. When I walked to work, never alone, I used to literally have to step over garbage, used needles, and even passed out stone cold drunks on the curb. Being in the shadow of the US Capitol and adjacent to the Navy Yard did not boost or help the socioeconomic conditions of the neighborhood. Now fast forward a couple years. Last summer I went with my family to a Washington Nationals game at the new stadium constructed adjacent to the Navy Yard. I was stunned. I couldn’t quit blabbering about what the neighborhood used to be like. The transformation in such a short period of time was nothing short of amazing. Even in this economic downturn, the only direction for this neighborhood now is UP.
So now I hear discontented rumblings in my county again about citizens unhappy about the county’s recent decision to partner itself with the Washington Redskins. Some people are unhappy about the expense related to marketing and branding itself with the sports team. Pennies compared to the return the county could get. Kudos to the county officials who decided to secure that the Redskins will keep their training camp in our county. Players buy and live in homes in our neighborhood. If the Redskins ever decided to move their training camp out of the county, it would have very negative effects on our already dwindling economy that went “boom.”
Like Cuba Gooding Jr. said to his agent (Tom Cruise) in the movie Jerry Maguire, “Show me the Money”. The clip from this movie (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OaiSHcHM0PA) has an important lesson for brokers and agents of today that seem faced with an impossible task. Stick with it, give it all you’ve got and your faith in a good solid investment, even against all odds, will pay off.
I have a confession to make. I am not a sports fan. You won’t ever find me slathered in body paint and dancing and screaming on national TV. However, you might find me accompanying my husband or kids to a game and holding my daughter up so she can dance the winning dance and I’d even help my son paint his face red, white or blue, as such a task really does seem to require a woman’s touch. I’ll have a beer or two, buy the cracker jacks, watch the super bowl commercials and hopefully chat it up with another un-sports fan. Okay, I admit it; I’ve even bought my dog his own football jersey with his name on it. But really, I’m not a sports fan. I barely know the rules. But I like the rules. Maybe I’m a closet sports fan.
Sportsmanship is healthy. Healthy for the environment (beer bottles are all plastic recyclable with no caps), healthy for the economy, healthy for the community, and healthy for the family. I’ve given this more thought recently because of where I live and have worked.
I live in Loudoun County, VA and used to work in southeast Washington DC. Loudoun County was the second fastest growing county in the nation during the economic boom. (“Boom” is such an ironic term for economic growth. As a mother, when things go “boom” it’s not usually a good thing!) Recently however, it is starting to resemble a ghost town with beautiful new commercial spaces and homes sitting vacant. So when it was just announced that Donald Trump was buying Lowes Island Golf and Country club, I asked “Why?”. Then I just had to defer to his decision and try and ascertain what potential he saw. I started thinking that maybe the potential he saw was geographic. The greater Washington DC area is somewhat insulated to economic crisis due to the significant presence of the federal government and all its contractors. But the private sector, retail and service industry of the greater metro area is not immune to it, unfortunately! Rather, I think that the investment is in the sportsman. In tough economic times, a sportsman is still sportsman. Once a sports fan, always a sports fan. I’d venture to say that a sports fan’s blood may run thicker than some family members!
Most parents wouldn’t discourage our children from becoming involved in a team sport. Being a player on team teaches one how to be a team player later in life. When considering a recent hire, what finally bumped one applicant to the top of the list was her experience as a college sports team captain. And when a family becomes involved in a team sport, coaching, attending games and practices, supporting and exercising, it becomes a win-win for all.
So is it the same with a professional sports organization and the community. The presence of a professional sports entity or structure in a community breeds economic growth through jobs, hotels, restaurants, shops, and transportation. It’s a solid long term investment. And in many major cities, during a home team sporting event, the crime rate drops significantly! I reflect back to the 1990’s when I worked in Southeast Washington DC in the US Navy Yard. When I walked to work, never alone, I used to literally have to step over garbage, used needles, and even passed out stone cold drunks on the curb. Being in the shadow of the US Capitol and adjacent to the Navy Yard did not boost or help the socioeconomic conditions of the neighborhood. Now fast forward a couple years. Last summer I went with my family to a Washington Nationals game at the new stadium constructed adjacent to the Navy Yard. I was stunned. I couldn’t quit blabbering about what the neighborhood used to be like. The transformation in such a short period of time was nothing short of amazing. Even in this economic downturn, the only direction for this neighborhood now is UP.
So now I hear discontented rumblings in my county again about citizens unhappy about the county’s recent decision to partner itself with the Washington Redskins. Some people are unhappy about the expense related to marketing and branding itself with the sports team. Pennies compared to the return the county could get. Kudos to the county officials who decided to secure that the Redskins will keep their training camp in our county. Players buy and live in homes in our neighborhood. If the Redskins ever decided to move their training camp out of the county, it would have very negative effects on our already dwindling economy that went “boom.”
Like Cuba Gooding Jr. said to his agent (Tom Cruise) in the movie Jerry Maguire, “Show me the Money”. The clip from this movie (http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OaiSHcHM0PA) has an important lesson for brokers and agents of today that seem faced with an impossible task. Stick with it, give it all you’ve got and your faith in a good solid investment, even against all odds, will pay off.
Friday, February 13, 2009
I Have A Confession!!!
By Patrick Nutt, Senior Associate
I have a confession to make: I am a commercial real estate broker. Just one part of being a broker is the constant networking and socializing, staying on top of the latest trends and rumors throughout the industry. Nowadays, attending industry functions similar to last week’s ICSC event feels more like going to a support group than a high energy networking event. An introduction to someone outside of the real estate world generally proves to be even worse, with a typical conversation generally going something like this:
Party A: “So, what do you do for a living?”
Me: “I’m in commercial real estate.”
Party A: “Oh, sorry to hear that, how are you doing these days?”
(As a point of reference for some people that may not know, “commercial real estate” is actually my field of occupation, not a rare, incurable disease.)
Sure, the commercial real estate sector has seen better days, everyone knows that, but what most aren’t aware of is the relative stability in the net lease sector. Consider that, according to a recent CoStar report, retail sales volume as a whole was down 43% for 2008 vs. 2007, however during that same span, shopping center transactions alone are down 90%. In addition, when you talk about the re-pricing of assets and adjusting cap rates, Shopping center caps are rising (prices falling) at twice the rate of single tenant sites, rising 145 basis points over the past 12 months.
I suppose I could provide some lengthy, in-depth, study and analysis of what has caused this, but I prefer to take a more “common sense” approach these days. Plain and simple, net leased assets are more often occupied by national tenants, where shopping centers may feature a national anchor, their rent rolls and CAM fees rely heavily on the local tenants, precisely those that may lack the necessary operating capital to sustain the current recession. The passive, long term leases and strong national tenants which generated the popularity of single tenant net leased sites over the past 5-7 years are precisely what have afforded this stability.
Shopping centers, office buildings, and other commercial properties are most often occupied by multiple tenants, signed to shorter term leases of 3-5 years. As these leases prepare to expire, tenants are using this opportunity to request rent reductions, lower CAM contributions, and even shorten primary lease terms. While those landlords deal with shrinking rent rolls, tenant turnover, and rising operating costs due to higher vacancy, finding a buyer to jump into this situation could prove difficult. Add in the fact that financially sensible debt is tough to find, the only deals trading these days seem to be the smaller, lower leveraged purchases under $7M occupied by strong tenants. These criteria sound an awful lot like a typical McDonald’s, Burger King, Pep Boys, Advance Auto Parts, CVS, or Walgreen’s transaction, don’t they???
Like I said, commercial real estate may have seen better days, but if I had to pick a niche to work in during this down-cycle, the net lease nation sure seems to be a pretty good place to be.
Patrick Nutt, Senior Associate
I have a confession to make: I am a commercial real estate broker. Just one part of being a broker is the constant networking and socializing, staying on top of the latest trends and rumors throughout the industry. Nowadays, attending industry functions similar to last week’s ICSC event feels more like going to a support group than a high energy networking event. An introduction to someone outside of the real estate world generally proves to be even worse, with a typical conversation generally going something like this:
Party A: “So, what do you do for a living?”
Me: “I’m in commercial real estate.”
Party A: “Oh, sorry to hear that, how are you doing these days?”
(As a point of reference for some people that may not know, “commercial real estate” is actually my field of occupation, not a rare, incurable disease.)
Sure, the commercial real estate sector has seen better days, everyone knows that, but what most aren’t aware of is the relative stability in the net lease sector. Consider that, according to a recent CoStar report, retail sales volume as a whole was down 43% for 2008 vs. 2007, however during that same span, shopping center transactions alone are down 90%. In addition, when you talk about the re-pricing of assets and adjusting cap rates, Shopping center caps are rising (prices falling) at twice the rate of single tenant sites, rising 145 basis points over the past 12 months.
I suppose I could provide some lengthy, in-depth, study and analysis of what has caused this, but I prefer to take a more “common sense” approach these days. Plain and simple, net leased assets are more often occupied by national tenants, where shopping centers may feature a national anchor, their rent rolls and CAM fees rely heavily on the local tenants, precisely those that may lack the necessary operating capital to sustain the current recession. The passive, long term leases and strong national tenants which generated the popularity of single tenant net leased sites over the past 5-7 years are precisely what have afforded this stability.
Shopping centers, office buildings, and other commercial properties are most often occupied by multiple tenants, signed to shorter term leases of 3-5 years. As these leases prepare to expire, tenants are using this opportunity to request rent reductions, lower CAM contributions, and even shorten primary lease terms. While those landlords deal with shrinking rent rolls, tenant turnover, and rising operating costs due to higher vacancy, finding a buyer to jump into this situation could prove difficult. Add in the fact that financially sensible debt is tough to find, the only deals trading these days seem to be the smaller, lower leveraged purchases under $7M occupied by strong tenants. These criteria sound an awful lot like a typical McDonald’s, Burger King, Pep Boys, Advance Auto Parts, CVS, or Walgreen’s transaction, don’t they???
Like I said, commercial real estate may have seen better days, but if I had to pick a niche to work in during this down-cycle, the net lease nation sure seems to be a pretty good place to be.
Patrick Nutt, Senior Associate
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